We've seen this before. Just two years ago, Kansas City beat Philadelphia 38-35 to win LVII. Now, contrary to both of my predictions, both teams are back for a rematch.
I think the most significant difference for two teams with the same coaches and same quarterbacks is the Running Back position in Philadelphia. Saquon Barkley has been instrumental in each of Philadelphia's postseason wins - and Super Bowl Sunday is his 28th birthday! He's going to bring it, and no one knows for sure how Kansas City will handle it. The two teams did not meet in the regular season, so the direct matchup between Barkley and Kansas City does not have precedent this season.
My predictions have been wrong thus far, but that won't stop me from trying again! My Super Bowl prediction is a 38-34 victory for the Philadelphia Eagles - almost the reverse of their score two Super Bowls ago. I would love to see Nick Chubb barreling over Andy Reid's defense to bring a title to Cleveland. But if I can't have that, I would have no problem seeing Barkley do the same - and he's certainly capable. The Eagles smothered the Redskins with 55 points of offense in the NFC Championship game, and three of those touchdowns (along with 118 yards on 7.9 yards per carry) are thanks to their Running Back. While Kansas City will probably be a stiffer challenge, I think the Eagles will get enough breakthroughs in the run game to make up for Mahomes and the refs.
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